Federal Reserve Watch

Forecasting Federal Reserve policy changes in coming months All the experts still feel the Fed Funds Rate will stay at its super low level through the first half of next year. A threat of inflation, or a strengthening of the economic recovery, of course, could start rates back up. Note: In the lower chart, a 1% probability of change is a 99% certainty the rate will stay the same. Bob Mann -Senior Mortgage Banker -PrimeLending

Current Fed Funds Rate: 0%–0.25%

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus
Dec 14 0%–0.25%
Jan 26 0%–0.25%
Mar 15 0%–0.25%

Probability of change from current policy:

After FOMC meeting on: Consensus
Dec 14 <1%
Jan 26 <1%
Mar 15 <1%
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